Wednesday, August 31, 2005

The Next Four Months

Here is how I expect things to happen in the next four months:

  • Short Term Interest = Small Increase
  • 30 Year Fixed Mortgages = Small Increase
  • Foreclosures = Small Increase
  • Lending Standards = Small Increase
  • Gasoline Prices = Small Increase
  • Bubble Cheerleading = Small Decrease
  • Housing Inventory = Large Increase ( added)
  • Housing Prices = Small Decrease
  • Flipper's Happiness = Large Decrease
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5 comments:

  1. Peter PAugust 31, 2005 2:59 PM

    My predictions are pretty much the same, except...

    30 Year Fixed Mortgages = Small Decrease
    Gasoline Prices = Large Increase
    Housing Inventory = Large Increase

    ReplyDelete
  2. Peter PAugust 31, 2005 9:00 PM

    I paid $3.19 a gallon in California already. :(

    I don't think it will peak before $4-5.

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousSeptember 01, 2005 3:09 PM

    Can you clarify what you mean by small and large?

    Is small less than 5% change or 10% or 20%?

    Is large 50% or 80%?

    ReplyDelete
  4. DavidSeptember 01, 2005 3:35 PM

    Good point. I can't give a percentage to each thing because some things are not qauntifiable ( lending standards). More to come later.

    ReplyDelete
  5. AnonymousSeptember 02, 2005 1:23 AM

    Schadenfreude = Big Increase

    ReplyDelete