Monday, October 20, 2008

No housing bottom anytime soon

The New York Times says the housing market bottom is still a long way off:
The American housing market, where the global economic crisis began, is far from hitting bottom.

Home prices across much of the country are likely to fall through late 2009, economists say, and in some markets the trend could last even longer depending on the severity of the anticipated recession. ...

Adding to the worries nationwide are rising unemployment, falling wages and escalating mortgage rates — all of which will reduce the already diminished pool of would-be buyers. ...

One reliable proxy of housing values — the ratio of home prices to rents — indicates that in many cities prices are still too high relative to historical norms. ...

The current housing downturn is much more national in scope and severe than any other in the postwar period, partly because of the proliferation of risky lending practices. Today, foreclosures are running ahead of the downturn in the economy, a reversal of previous housing slumps.
Huh? I thought the housing bottom was always supposed to be right around the corner. People have been saying that for years.

2 comments:

  1. More like 2012 and then will go up about 1% per year avg in most locations...People are better off renting for a while as prices still have a way to go down. As people lose jobs and are upside down on their houses, their will still be a lot more foreclosures to come...This will take a long time...

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