Wednesday, April 05, 2006

Main Points of Housing Bubble

What has happened in the bubble markets in the past 8 months?

In the vast majority of the bubble markets there are four significant trends that have happened in the last 8 months:
  • Rapidly rising inventory
  • Slowing number of housing unit sales
  • Slight decrease in housing prices
  • Rising awareness and acceptance of the bubble theory. [As well as a move away from the 'boom will continue' to a 'flattening of price.']
So what can we expect over the next year in the US with regards to the housing market?
  • YoY price DECLINES in most bubble markets.
  • YoY sales DECLINES in the bubble markets
  • Rising interest rates
  • Rising number of foreclosures
  • Much less speculation
  • Less condo conversions
  • Loss of housing related jobs [construction, real estate agents, mortgage brokers, home renovation, appraisers etc.]
  • Tighter lending standards