Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Good Luck Ben Bernanke


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What should Chairman Bernanke do with short term interest rates? What will he do? Lower them? Raise them?

He really is walking a tightrope. Tough situation.

3 comments:

  1. I think Ben will raise short term interest rates to 4.5% then stop raising them. If I missed significant factors on either side then please let me know, as I will add them to the cartoon.

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  2. I like the "Flying Willenda" tightrope reference. You could also use the scylla and charybdis analogy too. He is stepping into a minefield because Greenspan has left him no more options. It is crash and burn time!

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  3. While AG and BB are high accomplished economists and have great insight to the complex equations that interest rates are part of, they both are subject to political influences - and that is probably the thing we need to worry about more than anything. They will be influenced left and right by politicians looking to protect their constituents housing values - they will bow to some pressure, and that's when the equations will no longer be of any use. The Feds will be pressured by politicians to minimize impact on housing values - even the cost of long term health of the economy. The politicians need to get re-elected next year - they don't care as much what kind of housing collapse they may cause a couple years down the road.

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