Friday, July 28, 2006

US GDP Growth Slowing Significantly; Recession Coming Soon

US annual GDP growth rate for the 2Q 2006 slowed dramatically and stood at 2.5%. Bloomberg reports:

The U.S. economy grew at a 2.5 percent annual pace from April through June, less than expected, as business investment in equipment fell for the first time in three years and consumers reined in spending.

The government's first estimate of the quarter's gross domestic product, the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S., compares with a 5.6 percent gain in the first three months of the year, the Commerce Department reported today in Washington. A measure of core inflation accelerated.

Economists expected a 3 percent gain in GDP last quarter, according to the median estimate of 74 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey. Estimates ranged from 2 percent to 3.8 percent. Housing Slowdown

Consumer expenditures rose at an annual rate of 2.5 percent last quarter, as a slowdown in the housing market discouraged spending, compared with a 4.8 percent pace in the previous three months. Economists expected a 2.1 percent gain, based on the survey median. Consumer spending growth has averaged about 3.4 percent a quarter the past 30 years.
The dramatic slowdown in GDP growth is noted. The US economy will be in a recession in the coming 12 months.